Thuku said plainly that the owners of the party already know this, and that is precisely why there is such urgency to harvest whatever can be harvested before the clock runs out. The fundraising trips to the United States and the United Kingdom, the rallies, the momentum building, all of it, he argues, is people making the most of a window they know is closing.
His reasoning is rooted in Kenyan political history. A new party that fails to produce a presidential candidate in its very first election cycle does not survive to fight a second one. It loses its reason for existing, its followers scatter, and the energy that built it evaporates. DCP, he says, will be no different.
The fate of the party, he argued, is actually tied entirely to the fate of one man. If Ruto loses in 2027 and goes home, DCP's stated mission is accomplished and the party dies because its purpose is gone. If Ruto wins and stays, DCP folds back into the establishment because there is nothing left to fight for and nowhere to go.
Either way, Thuku says, the party ends. There is no scenario in which DCP survives into 2032 as a meaningful political force, and there will certainly be no more fundraising trips abroad to sustain it.
He ended with a quiet confidence that only someone certain of their prediction can muster. We will revisit this post in mid 2028.
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